A mustread for anyone who wants a better understanding of global politics and the impact of the imf in particular. International trade in services international monetary fund. Imfsupported programs in indonesia, korea, and thailand. Making trade an engine of growth for all international monetary. Revenue implications of trade liberalization, op 180. Fiscal reforms in lowincome countries ebook by benedict. Read the speed of adjustment and the sequencing of economic reforms issues and guidelines for policymakers, international journal of social economics on deepdyve, the largest online rental service for scholarly research with thousands of academic publications available at your fingertips. May 24, 20 congress should query imf support for capital controls. How to evaluate the effects of imf conditionality springerlink. Of the 99 countries that had imf programs during 19932003, 77 had conditions on trade reforms in their programs.
Structural adjustment programs saps consist of loans provided by the international monetary fund imf and the world bank wb to countries that experienced economic crises. Read macroeconomics of structural adjustment and public finances in developing countries a heterodox perspective, international journal of development issues on deepdyve, the largest online rental service for scholarly research with thousands of academic publications available at. The case of trade reform conditions in imf supported programs, nber working papers 12667, national bureau of economic research, inc. First, wto members are concerned that autonomous liberalization such as that taken in the context of imfsupported programs is not given sufficient negotiating. For example, evrensel 2002 examines the effectiveness of imfsupported stabilization programs in developing countries and finds that the organization fails to impose its conditionality even. Recent studies have demonstrated a new degree of methodological rigor, have drawn more heavily upon insights from political science, and have asked a number of new questions.
The liberalization of trade, privatization, and the reduction of barriers to foreign. New statesman vreelands book is worth a look as it pieces together some interesting case studies, weaves an intriguing tale of political motives, and provides a concise and readable discussion of his attempt to measure the impact of imf programs on economic. Approximately half of the countries that had imfsupported programs during 19932003 also had trade related conditions. This paper uses panel data and times seriescross section analysis to estimate the effect of trade liberalisation on export growth, import growth, the balance of trade and the balance of payments for a sample of 22 developing countries that have adopted trade liberalisation policies since the mid. Since the wto has not been found especially effective in promoting trade openness for most developing countries, it is of great interest to see if the imf has been more effective as it combines carrots and. Macrocritical trade issues may feature in fund surveillance activities and can be addressed in the context of imfsupported programs, when needed, to meet the programs objectives. The results indicate that such conditionality had a positive impact on tax revenue, with strongest improvement felt on taxes on goods and services, including the vat.
Access and download this publication along with appendix vi financial. We focus on the case of india, a country that underwent a major exogenous tariff reform program in the early 1990s and subsequently. However, because trade liberalization in the early 1990s can be characterized as rapid and relatively comprehensive, it is reasonable to assume that the. Wei served as chief economist of asian development bank and director general of its economic research and regional cooperation department. This article argues that implementing such prescriptions would repeat the catastrophic errors of africas two lost decades and that the real alternative to aid dependency lies. The liberalization of trade policy in many developing countries has helped foster the growth of these flows. Since the wto has not been found especially effective in promoting trade openness for most developing.
Structural adjustment, state capacity and child health. Blejer and cheasty 1990 and tanzi 1989 conclude that ultimately the net impact of trade reform on revenue is an empirical matter. Trade policy conditionality in fundsupported programs. While global growth is gradually recovering in many parts of the world, deep vulnerabilities remain in the global monetary and financial system at a period when support for multilateral institutions is very low in some countries. The main objectives of the third structural adjustment credit project are to help strengthen the economys supply response to the adjustment process by further reducing the role of the state in the economy and, in conjunction with an imf supported esaf.
Strengthening the international monetary fund for stability. Do imfsupported programs impose austerity on countries in financial crisis. Users who downloaded this paper also downloaded these. The rapid and comprehensive tariff reductionspart of an imfsupported adjustment program with india in 1991allow us to. At the end of this study, the researches found that the wages of unskilled employees work in america and england decrease depending on the foreign trade. Nevertheless, trade liberalization was a key aspect of fund programs in these countries and considerable liberalization was achieved. This would be consistent with a negative relationship between. Impact of trade liberalisation on exports, imports and the. The main objective of the stability programs, while solving the problems of the balance of. Accordingly, while the tax and tariffs increased, the role of the public in the economy minimized and national currencies are devaluated. This stems from the purposes of the fund and the importance. A decade after the global financial crisis, the world economy continues to be on fragile footing.
Documents and reports documents list the world bank. The socalled southern cone liberalization experiments combined financial and trade reforms with macroeconomic systems involving preset exchange rates and a passive monetary policy. Revenue conditionality matters more for lowincome countries. Another interesting result is that the coefficient on the dummy for free trade. Economic liberalization via imf structural adjustment jstor.
Imfsupported programs in indonesia, korea, and thailand a. The programs include high interest rates that are inappropriate and overlook the private sector debt problems that were at the heart of the crisis. The international monetary fund imf is an international organisation established in 1945, comprising 188 member countries. A large literature has shown that trade openness is an. It also discusses the main economic factors affecting trade policy targets. Revenue implications of trade liberalization, op 180 table. Since the wto has not been found especially effective in promoting trade openness for most developing countries, it is of. The revenue implications of trade liberalization are, in general, uncertain. The effect of the imf on world economic policy and private. An imf program reduces the extent of the belttightening needed and aims at bringing about a quicker rebound in incomes than would otherwise be the case. In fact, it is at least as likely for a program country to have trade conditions at the end of the sample as at the beginning. Trade reform conditions are common in imf supported programs. A comparative study of the trade barriers in vietnam and.
However, almost all of these policies are far from creating the expected effect. What determines the implementation of imfsupported programs. Preceding and concurrent with this move to free trade, there has been a global movement toward democracy. This paper evaluates the effectiveness of trade conditions in imfsupported programs, and the role of country ownership in the success of the conditions. Public expenditure on labor programs, oecd countries, 20. Tax policy for developing countries ebook written by vito tanzi, howell hang zee. Imf independent evaluation office, structural conditionality in imf supported programs washington, dc, international monetary fund, 2008. Tax policy for developing countries by vito tanzi, howell. Burundi third structural adjustment program english. Other types of conditions include tax increases and trade liberalization. Congress should query imf support for capital controls the.
Trade liberalization does entail dislocations for the hitherto protected industries and the transition has to be. Ii trade reforms in fundsupported programs imf elibrary. The paper discusses the role of regional public goods vs. The international monetary fund, the world trade organization. In recent decades, many developing countries have embarked on programs of external economic. However, higher trade openness could be the result of trade liberalization through tariff reductions. Although the issues of trade barriers have been discussed extensively in the existing economic literature, little evidence has been documented regarding the structures, characteristics, and trends of the trade barriers, including nontariff barriers, in vietnam and thailand from a comparative perspective. Trade liberalization has been a key element of fundsupported programs over the past twenty years. While the effects of an economic or financial crisis are felt immediately. The initial imfsupported programs provided an overall framework of action for the next three years, including aspects to be dealt withand spelled out in more detailby the world bank and the asian development bank. There is no obvious trend in the fraction of programs that carry trade conditions.
Read fiscal reforms in lowincome countries by benedict mr. Effectiveness of imfsupported stabilization programs in. Evaluating the effectiveness of trade conditions in fund. We also test specific pathways linking imf programs to inequality by disaggregating conditionality by. Revenga found that trade liberalization affected firmlevel. Does conditionality in imfsupported programs promote revenue. Impact of international monetary fund programs on child. Wang professor of chinese business and economy and professor of finance and economics at columbia universitys graduate school of business and school of international and public affairs. Conditionality in its broad sense covers both the design of imfsupported programsthat is, the macroeconomic and structural policiesand the specific tools used to monitor progress toward the goals outlined by the country in cooperation with the imf imf, 20. Pdf how structural adjustment programs affect inequality. The second common objective was that of the central reform group, based largely in the finance ministry and the central bank.
This volume presents the proceedings of a conference, moderated by v. Dambisa moyos 2009 book dead aid sought to revive the neoliberal prescriptions for africas development that were promoted by the world bank and the international monetary fund during the 1980s and 1990s. The imfs impact in developing countries the express tribune. The imf argues that while an increase in interest rates has been part of the countries economic programs, the centerpiece revolved. Jun 20, 2017 other types of conditions include tax increases and trade liberalization. The imf and economic development by james raymond vreeland. With the use of a dummy variable, we assume that programs have similar effects on child health.
Download for offline reading, highlight, bookmark or take notes while you read tax policy for developing countries. A new data set of on openness indicators and trade liberalization dates allows the. This finding suggests that imf programs to promote economic openness. Revenga 1997 analyzed the effect of trade liberalization on employment and wages in the. The imfs mandate includes facilitating the expansion and balanced growth of international trade, promoting exchange stability, and providing the. Trade openness, underpinned by the expansion of the multilateral trading system. An initial step in the matching procedure is to calculate the probability of participating in imfsupported programs conditional on observable. Measures that support competitiveness and productivity growth can also help to ensure. Although there is no research that we are aware of on the amount of time it takes for implemented financial policy to affect the economy, studies of various other types of policy changeincluding trade policy liberalization wacziarg and welch 2008, fiscal policy gemmell, kneller, and sanz 2011, merger control policy siedlarek 2017.
This strategy acknowledges that, in practice, trade reforms are multifaceted, and it has been adopted by, for example, papageorgiou et al. To summarize, while imfsupported programs have not directly tackled corruption in the baltic and cis countries, they have generally played an indirect role in helping to address these issues through economic and structural reforms aimed at improving economic governance. It ensures the stability of the international monetary and financial system. Apr 12, 2005 macrocritical trade issues may feature in fund surveillance activities and can be addressed in the context of imfsupported programs, when needed, to meet the programs objectives. The early stages of the countrys trade liberalization program were plagued by a fundamental problem. Jan 01, 2001 tax policy for developing countries ebook written by vito tanzi, howell hang zee. Nuria molina and javier pereira, critical conditions. Does conditionality in imfsupported programs promote. Due to high rate of borrowing, the developing countries had to follow imf supported structural reform programs during the 1980s.
Imf support and crisis prevention ebook by atish mr. In terms of initial conditions, the trade system had to be radically redesigned in all these countries. By structural policies, i mean policies aimed not at the management of aggregate demand but rather at either improving the efficiency of resource use andor increasing the economys productive capacity. A comparative study of the trade barriers in vietnam and thailand. The imfsupported programs of poland and russia, 19901994. Using a panel of firmlevel data, this paper examines the effects of indias trade reforms in the early 1990s on firm productivity in the manufacturing sector, focusing on the interaction between this policy shock and firm and environment characteristics. The reform of fiscal policies and institutions lies at the heart of structural adjustment in developing countries. Burundi third structural adjustment program english abstract. A comparative study of the trade barriers in vietnam and thailand show all authors. A third approach is to combine information on changes in a range of trade policy measures to compute some kind of index of liberalisation. Trade liberalization and growth world bank documents. The imf argues that while an increase in interest rates has been part of the countries economic programs, the centerpiece revolved around farreaching structural reforms. Nov 12, 2015 3 the imf and pakistan a road to nowhere history of imf the international monetary fund was created in 1944, at bretton woods conference to prevent the kinds of chain reaction in the economic system that caused world currencies to collapse like in the great depression of the 1930s.
This paper is the first to use productlevel data to examine empirically whether countries use antidumping and safeguard exceptions to unwind commitments to lower tariffs in the face of domestic politicaleconomic pressure. Fiscal reforms in lowincome countries ebook by benedict mr. Congress should query imf support for capital controls. Jul 01, 20 conditionality in its broad sense covers both the design of imfsupported programsthat is, the macroeconomic and structural policiesand the specific tools used to monitor progress toward the goals outlined by the country in cooperation with the imf imf, 20. Preceding and concurrent with this move to free trade, there has. This paper studies whether revenue conditionality in fund programs had any impact on the revenue performance of 126 low and middleincome countries during 199320.
Trade liberalisation and growth in developing countries. The imf and the wto are international organizations with about 150 members in. This paper assesses the implementation of imf supported programs using measures of program interruptions, compliance with conditionality, and the share of committed funds disbursed. The case of trade reform conditions in imf supported programs. A country in financial crisis is likely to face a period of austerity whether it approaches the imf or not. For example, evrensel 2002 examines the effectiveness of imf supported stabilization programs in developing countries and finds that the organization fails to impose its conditionality even. Agriculture suffered as state support was radically withdrawn. Imfsupported poverty reduction strategy paper ii and was the gambias development plan and investment programme during the period 201216, focusing on agriculture and infrastructure development. Rising international trade flows are a primary component of globalization. This paper assesses the implementation of imfsupported programs using measures of program interruptions, compliance with conditionality, and the share of committed funds disbursed. The reforms included liberalization and deregulation of capital flows, liberalization of. Sep 01, 2005 read the speed of adjustment and the sequencing of economic reforms issues and guidelines for policymakers, international journal of social economics on deepdyve, the largest online rental service for scholarly research with thousands of academic publications available at your fingertips. To summarize, while imf supported programs have not directly tackled corruption in the baltic and cis countries, they have generally played an indirect role in helping to address these issues through economic and structural reforms aimed at improving economic governance. Even though an imperfect indicator, this approach follows conventions in the field 2, 32, including work by the imf itself.
1245 1426 1106 363 130 182 158 419 164 1219 327 1484 301 823 420 170 724 839 70 813 1266 206 998 193 454 786 563 386 1392